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Corn Hybrids’ Yield Response to Limited Well Capacities in the Central High Plains
Macie McPeak: M.S in Irrigation and Water Management
Sumit Sharma : Extension Specialist for High Plains Irrigation and Water Management
Background
The Central High Plains, which include the Oklahoma Panhandle, Southwest Kansas, Southeast Colorado, and Northern Texas Panhandle, is a heavily farmed semi-arid region that depends on the Ogallala Aquifer for irrigation to ensure stable crop yields. However, the continuous decline of the Ogallala Aquifer has resulted in increased need for irrigation strategies that conserve water while maintaining crop profitability. Corn remains the most water consuming crop with highest productivity per unit of irrigation applied, and strong economic returns in the Central High Plains region. However, corn is also the most sensitive to water stress among all the existing cropping systems (including sorghum, cotton, and sunflower, soybeans and wheat). Declining water table has reduced the well capacities in many areas in the region, which cannot meet crop water demand, making it a growing challenge for corn production. Therefore, there is a need for research in irrigation strategies and agronomic choices such as drought tolerant hybrids, seeding rate, planting date, and hybrid maturity for sustainable and profitable corn production with reduced well capacities in the region. This blog discusses the yield response of different corn hybrids to limited well capacities in the Oklahoma Panhandle area of the Central High Plains.
Limited well capacities only meet partial crop water demand, which in general leads to yield declines especially in high water demanding crops such as corn. Several previous studies suggest that crop productivity does not significantly decrease as long as irrigation is maintained at approximately 75–80% of full evapotranspiration (ET) replacement (Su et al., 2022; Klocke et al., 2007; Zhao et al., 2019). However, when irrigation levels are more restricted, such as under reduced well capacities, there can be substantial yield losses and diminished economic returns. The magnitude of yield reduction varies with region, hybrids, and growth stage at which water stress occurred. For example, in the Central High Plains the corn ET demand is highest in Texas Panhandle and decreases as we move north towards Nebraska. Zhao et al. (2019) found that applying 75% ET in the Texas Panhandle produced corn yields equivalent to full irrigation, whereas reducing irrigation to 50% caused significant yield reductions. Similarly, Klocke et al. (2007) reported that limited irrigation at roughly 50% of full ET replacement in Nebraska achieved 80–90% of fully irrigated yields across multiple crop rotations. Therefore, the irrigation strategies which work in one region may not work the same way in other regions with different crop water demand and must be tested for the region-specific climatic conditions.
The current study was conducted in 2025 at the Oklahoma Panhandle Research and Extension Center in Goodwell, OK. Four Pioneer brand corn hybrids including P13777 (113 day maturity), P10625 (110 day maturity), P05810 (105 day maturity), and P14346 (114 days maturity) were planted at 22,000 and 28,000 seeds per acre. The hybrids were irrigated with a center pivot fitted with variable rate irrigation system at 200, 300, 400, and 500 GPM well capacities. The well capacities were simulated by adjusting the frequency of irrigation events.
Results & Discussion

The crop received 12.1 inches of rain from planting until physiological maturity, while total rainfall from April till September was over 15 inches. Manual probing of the field showed near 4 feet soil profile at the time of planting which can hold up to 2 inches of plant available water per foot. The well capacities 200, 300, 400, and 500 GPM treatments received 7.4, 8.9, 10.8, and 12.0 inches of irrigation, respectively. The data showed no significant effect of population on corn yield across hybrids for any well capacity. However, the hybrids showed significant interaction with well capacities, which indicated that hybrid yield response varied at different capacities (Figure 1). In general, the average yield declined from longest maturity to shortest maturity hybrids irrespective of the well capacity, but was only statistically significant at for 200 GPM (Figure1). At this irrigation level, the shortest maturity hybrid P05081 yielded significantly lower yield than longest maturity hybrid P14364, while P13777 and P10625 were not different from either of these two hybrids.

Although there was no statistical difference among the hybrids at 500, 400, and 300 GPM, when compared across well capacities, yield reductions were most pronounced at the 200 and 300 GPM irrigation levels for each individual hybrid, indicating that irrigation capacity was the primary yield limiting factor under restricted water availability (Figure 2). While the exact causes of this abrupt decline are not yet understood, as mentioned in the beginning of this blog, previous literature has suggested that severe yield decline in corn can be expected when irrigation is reduced to 60% ET replacement in the study region. Both 300 and 200 GPM well capacities met 60 and 65% crop ET demand, while 400 and 500 GPM met 71 and75% crop ET demand, respectively. More data will be needed to ascertain these threshold levels of well capacities for corn production in this region.

All the hybrids showed a positive yield response to Irrigation+Rain with different yield gains per inch of water applied (Figure 3). Hybrid P10625 registered highest yield gain of 14.1 bushel per inch of water applied, followed by P13777 (12.0 bu), P05081 (11.9 bu), and P14364 (11.6 bu). The stronger coefficient of regression (>80%) for two short maturity varieties indicated that irrigation was stronger yield limitation factor for these hybrids, in comparison to 114 and 113-day maturity hybrids for irrigation explained on 67 and 69% variability, respectively. This suggests that besides irrigation there might be other factors which could contribute to filling the yield gaps for given irrigation levels in longer maturity hybrids.
Planting population did not significantly affect grain yield across irrigation capacities. When pooled across the hybrids for individual planting populations, 28,000 seeding rates resulted in gain of 0.1, 2.6, 5, and 12 bushels per acre for 200, 300, 400, and 500 GPM, respectively. This indicates that higher planting populations at well capacities of 400 or above should be considered, while reducing population at 300 GPM or lower might be more cost-effective option.
Take Home
- Irrigation capacity remains the primary determinant of yield potential under limited well capacities in the Central High Plains.
- Pre-irrigation and recharging the soil profiles will be critical to support crop water demand for limited well capacities.
- Short maturity hybrids appeared to have consistently lower average yield and more vulnerable for yield losses at limited irrigation. However, one must consider that the growing conditions were more conducive for corn production in 2025 which generally favor long maturity hybrids. Therefore, long-term data will be required to assess the performance of short maturity hybrids during inclement growing seasons.
- Even though population didn’t significantly influence the grain yield. The 28,000 seeding rates overall had higher average yield at 400 and 500 GPM. Therefore, producers should consider the higher population at these well capacities or more.
- Overall, irrigation is the most important factor for yields, but there is a need for long-term agronomic data on hybrid maturity and population along with economic analysis to ascertain these findings.